Who Will Gerard Kennedy Delegates Vote For?

OK, let's face it, the 900 ex-officio delegates (MPs, Senators, former candidates, riding presidents) at the Liberal leadership convention in Montreal are not going to vote for sixth place in Quebec centralist Gerard Kennedy.

University dropout Gerard Kennedy will obviously be in forth place in the first ballot results, far behind Stephan Dion.

So the question is, on the second ballot, who will get the support of the few Gerard Kennedy delegates that bother to show up? (The Gerard Kennedy delegates are required to vote for him on the first ballot only).

Conventional wisdom would dictate that his supporters will go to Bob Rae or Stephan Dion. However, many delegates support Kennedy's renewal platform, and nothing else. It would be hard to argue that Michael Ignatieff wouldn't put a new face on the Liberal party. He has demonstrated that quite clearly with his outspoken positions on Israel and Quebec's place in Canada. Dion's vision is the status quo. And Bob Rae? Well, I still can't figure out why he left the NDP. But maybe Kennedy supporters will have a better time figuring that out.

Many Gerard Kennedy supporters have a mean anti-Quebec, anti-French streak. I expect those delegates will go over to Rae. Although some would argue that Dion is the most anti-Quebec candidate, being from Quebec would disqualify him.

What do you think?


Anonymous said...

Should anyone care about what the vote was in Quebec. After all, the party in Quebec is broken. Examples abound: Ridings where 2 voters elect 14 delegates are just one example.

I suppose that some would say that to point out that the LPCQ is broken is being anti-Quebec. I guess this would apply to the majority of voters in Quebec.

As an ex-officio delegate, and one who supports Gerard, you can be assured that I will be at the convention. Maybe we win, maybe we lose. But we will be there.

Liberal Pebbles said...

Saying the Liberal Party in Quebec is broken is true - its not a defemation of Quebec. When only a few more members show up to vote in Quebec than in Alberta, the organization is broken.

I will be surprised to see if alot of Rae's and Iggy's Quebec delegates show up.

Steve V said...

"Gerard Kennedy will obviously be in forth place in the first ballot results, far behind Stephan Dion."

I'm going to save this. Do you go outside?

Altavistagoogle said...

Steve, Kennedy got sixth place in Quebec. Sixth place! There will be maybe 6 French speaking Kennedy supporters at the convention, tops!

The optics are terrible, ex-officio delegates will not be supporting Kennedy, that should be obvious.

The question remains, who will Kennedy supporters vote for?

Dan McKenzie said...

I don't even know why I bother but Kennedy has at the very least around 70 ex-officios.

The only question that remains is who are you? And what is your problem?


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